Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
F9 3381 · SAN → SFO
departs 10:23 AM PT · arrives 12:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.34 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.