Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4732
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
F9 4732 · ATL → JFK
departs 9:21 AM ET · arrives 11:50 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Mon 10/12
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 333 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi forecast at JFK that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 233 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.