tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4808 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:56 PM ET, ETA 7:07 PM ET)
Today

F9 4808 · TPA → PHL

took off 4:56 PM ET · expected to land 7:07 PM ET (scheduled 4:37 PM ET → 7:18 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
5% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    95%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.