G4 107 · LAS → SGF

departs 9:22 AM PT · arrives 2:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts −27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 107 · LAS → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?