G4 1637 · FSD → LAS

departs 1:11 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FSD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,429 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1637 · FSD → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?