G4 1884 · AVL → BOS

departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 9:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1884 · AVL → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?