Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2138
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
G4 2138 · FLL → SBN
departs 2:16 PM ET · arrives 5:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SBN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 0.75 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.