G4 2157 · FLL → AVL

departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 8:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2157 · FLL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?