G4 242 · AVL → DEN

took off 2:00 PM ET · landed 3:10 PM MT (scheduled 1:44 PM ET → 3:03 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AVL that day

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 242 · AVL → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?