Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 26 LANDED 1:39 AM PT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

G4 26 · MFE → LAS

took off 12:53 AM CT · landed 1:39 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 26 · MFE → LAS

Odds over time