Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2711
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
G4 2711 · PIE → PHL
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 5:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from PIE are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.