Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
G4 2 · LAS → GRR
departs 2:29 PM PT · arrives 9:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/12
Wed 10/14 8%
Fri 10/16 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±7 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
GRR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GRR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.