G4 3047 · TYS → PHL

departs 4:51 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM ET

Your aircraft is N197NV (A320), coming in as G4 3024 from MDW: landed 3:32 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at TYS that day

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3047 · TYS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?