G4 3050 · PHX → TYS

departs 9:11 AM MT · arrives 3:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3050 · PHX → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?