G4 3064 · TYS → PHX

departs 7:20 AM ET · arrives 8:24 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3064 · TYS → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?