G4 3080 · VPS → MDW

departs 5:39 PM CT · arrives 8:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

VPS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3080 · VPS → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?