G4 36 · SCK → LAS

took off 4:24 PM PT · landed 5:21 PM PT (scheduled 2:42 PM PT → 4:12 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCK

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SCK (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 36 · SCK → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?