G4 490 · SBN → FLL

took off 8:58 PM ET · landed 11:19 PM ET (scheduled 8:37 PM ET → 11:39 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 490 · SBN → FLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to FLL?