G4 49 · FAR → LAS

departs 1:46 PM CT · arrives 3:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at FAR that day

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.11 in

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 49 · FAR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?