Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
G4 503 · TYS → FLL
departs 8:14 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/14 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.