Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 534
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
G4 534 · FLL → AVL
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 7:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.