G4 537 · GRR → LAS

departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:14 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.01 in

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 537 · GRR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?