Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
G4 569 · GRR → FLL
departs 1:16 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/16 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 1.25 mi
Precip 0.01 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.