Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 60
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
G4 60 · LAS → FWA
departs 6:35 AM PT · arrives 1:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/12
Fri 10/16 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FWA at that hour are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from LAS are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FWA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.