G4 65 · LAS → GPI

departs 3:53 PM PT · arrives 8:15 PM -05

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at GPI more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GPI?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into GPI at that hour are usually not late

↓ GPI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GPI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 65 · LAS → GPI

Odds over time

How late will it get to GPI?