G4 77 · LAS → MFR

departs 8:11 AM PT · arrives 10:10 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MFR?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MFR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 77 · LAS → MFR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFR?