Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 84
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
G4 84 · MOT → LAS
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 1:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/15 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MOT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 433 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MOT that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
MOT usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MOT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 367 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.49 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 11,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.