G7 4419 · EWR → CHA

departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

CHA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4419 · EWR → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?