G7 4488 · IAD → CVG

took off 9:08 AM ET · landed 10:17 AM ET (scheduled 8:11 AM ET → 9:45 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CVG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ G7's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.97 in

CVG (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.06 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4488 · IAD → CVG

Odds over time

How late did it get to CVG?