Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
IBERIA · FLIGHT IB 328
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
IB 328 · EWR → MAD
departs 12:06 AM ET · arrives 1:14 PM CEST
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 13%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.2d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MAD?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi forecast at EWR that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.14 in
MAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.