KE 12 · LAX → ICN

took off 12:03 AM PT · expected to land 3:40 AM KST (scheduled 12:07 AM PT → 4:29 AM KST)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ICN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ KE's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,214 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

ICN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KE 12 · LAX → ICN

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICN?