MQ 3598 · DFW → IAH

departs 6:59 AM CT · arrives 8:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3598 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?