MQ 3635 · ILM → DFW

took off 7:37 AM ET · expected to land 9:09 AM CT (scheduled 7:28 AM ET → 9:38 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ILM is prone to delays

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3635 · ILM → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?