MQ 3773 · RDM → PHX

departs 5:30 AM PT · arrives 7:57 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at PHX that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

Weather at each end

RDM (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3773 · RDM → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?