Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
MQ 3968 · DFW → TYR
departs 8:55 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 6%
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15 6%
Sat 10/17 7%
Sun 10/18 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at TYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYR?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
TYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TYR (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.