MQ 3992 · PHX → BUR

took off 8:45 AM MT · landed 9:52 AM PT (scheduled 7:56 AM MT → 9:27 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BUR that day

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

BUR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3992 · PHX → BUR

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUR?