MQ 4218 · DFW → CUU

took off 10:01 AM CT · landed 10:29 AM CST (scheduled 9:30 AM CT → 10:31 AM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CUU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CUU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUU

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CUU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4218 · DFW → CUU

Odds over time

How late did it get to CUU?