MX 119 · MYR → TPA

departs 6:13 PM ET · arrives 8:04 PM ET

Your aircraft is N240BZ (BCS3), coming in as MX 119 from MHT: landed 6:05 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 119 · MYR → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?