MX 832 · MCO → GSP

departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 3:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 832 · MCO → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?