OH 5235 · DTW → PHL

departs 3:26 PM ET · arrives 5:24 PM ET

Your aircraft is N558NN (CRJ9), coming in as OH 5235 from PHL: landed 2:14 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5235 · DTW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?