OH 5340 · PHL → BNA

departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM CT

Your aircraft is N593NN (CRJ9), coming in as OH 5543 from XNA: landed 4:36 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5340 · PHL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?