Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5406 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

OH 5406 · LEX → DFW

departs 6:03 AM ET · arrives 7:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at LEX that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5406 · LEX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?