Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5577 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

OH 5577 · LEX → PHL

departs 6:49 AM ET · arrives 8:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LEX that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5577 · LEX → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?