Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 9951 LANDED 1:09 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

OH 9951 · ORF → PHL

took off 12:19 PM ET · landed 1:09 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ ORF is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

PHL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 9951 · ORF → PHL

Odds over time