Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3019
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 3019 · SLC → SAN
departs 6:06 PM MT · arrives 7:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Mon 10/12
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±9 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.56 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.