OO 3676 · SLC → BZN

departs 4:24 PM MT · arrives 5:50 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at BZN that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,633 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.47 in

BZN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3676 · SLC → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?