OO 3828 · BIL → SLC

departs 6:34 PM MT · arrives 8:09 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BIL that day

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.09 in

SLC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3828 · BIL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?