OO 3848 · DTW → BUF

departs 10:23 AM ET · arrives 11:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at BUF that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3848 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?