OO 3862 · GTF → SLC

departs 5:40 AM MT · arrives 7:10 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 414 ft, visibility down to 0.892857 mi, 0.9 in of snow forecast at GTF that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from GTF are usually not late

Weather at each end

GTF (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.875 mi Precip0.16 in

SLC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3862 · GTF → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?