Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
OO 3982 · ATW → DTW
departs 1:58 PM CT · arrives 4:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DTW is busy at that time
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,133 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.